Final report: The effect of climate change on the Norwegian Energy System towards 2050
Seljom, P.
,
Rosenberg, E.
,
Fidje, A.
,
Meir, M.
,
Haugen, J.E.
,
Jarlseth, T.
- Publisher
- IFE, Kjeller
- Publ. year
- 2010
- Report
- IFE/KR/E-2010/002
- ISBN
- 978-82-7017-821-6(printed), 978-82-7017-822-3(electronic)
- Publ. type
- report
- Abstract
- The climate impact on the renewable resources, end use demand, and on the Norwegian energy system towards 2050 is identified. Climate change will reduce the heat demand, increase the cooling demand, result in no impact on the wind power potential, and increase the hydro power potential. The total impact is reduced energy system costs, and lower Norwegian electricity prices. The net electricity export will increase, and national investments in new renewable power production like offshore wind- , tidal- and wave power will decrease due to climate change. Additionally, the electricity consumption in the residential and in the commercial sector will decrease, and climate change will lead to an earlier profitable implementation of electric based vehicles in Norway. Despite great uncertainties in the future climate, various future emission scenarios are compatible regarding the Norwegian climate impact, although the magnitude of the impact varies.
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